Model Predictions
| Model | Duke Blue Devils | Louisville Cardinals | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 77.6% | 22.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 76.4% | 23.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 68.2% | 31.8% | -4.2 | ✓ (6.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.1% | 50.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 48.7% | 51.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Louisville Cardinals -11 (73-84). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cam. Boozer | 39 | 10-12 | 3-4 | 4-5 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 27 | 25 | +1.2 |
| Isaiah Evans | 36 | 7-17 | 4-10 | 5-5 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 23 | 15 | +0.4 |
| Caleb Foster | 34 | 9-13 | 0-2 | 2-6 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 12 | +6.0 |
| Maliq Brown | 28 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 12 | -2.6 |
| Dame Sarr | 26 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | +5.8 |
| Cay. Boozer | 15 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | - |
| Patrick Ngongba | 10 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | +2.9 |
| Nikolas Khamenia | 7 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2.6 |
| Darren Harris | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +0.6 |
Louisville Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Conwell | 33 | 8-19 | 4-11 | 4-4 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 24 | 10 | -5.4 |
| Adrian Wooley | 32 | 5-11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 4 | +5.0 |
| Isaac McKneely | 31 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | -8.3 |
| J'Vonne Hadley | 30 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 7 | -10.5 |
| Kobe Rodgers | 20 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | +5.8 |
| Aly Khalifa | 20 | 6-6 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 16 | +3.3 |
| Sananda Fru | 14 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -0.1 |
| Khani Rooths | 12 | 2-8 | 0-5 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | +10.2 |
| Kasean Pryor | 8 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | -3.1 |
* = starter