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2026-01-02

Model Predictions

Model Notre Dame Fighting Irish California Golden Bears Spread Result
Elo 23.4% 76.6% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 29.8% 70.2% - โœ“
Margin 27.5% 72.5% +5.3 โœ“ (4.3 off)
Pythagorean 36.7% 63.3% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 45.2% 54.8% - โœ“

Actual: California Golden Bears +1 (72-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Notre Dame Fighting Irish

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Logan Imes 35 0-4 0-3 0-0 8 6 0 0 1 0 9 +1.8
Braeden Shrewsberry 31 5-17 5-12 6-6 5 1 0 0 0 21 10 +9.7
Jalen Haralson 31 5-9 2-3 5-10 4 4 0 1 2 17 15 -0.4
Carson Towt 28 4-4 0-0 0-1 15 2 0 0 1 8 20 +0.8
Cole Certa 24 4-10 3-7 5-7 2 0 0 0 1 16 7 -4.3
Garrett Sundra 22 0-3 0-3 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 +1.9
Kebba Njie 12 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -1 +2.4
Sir Mohammed 9 1-3 0-1 0-2 1 1 0 0 1 2 0 +2.3
Brady Koehler 5 2-3 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 5 3 -5.7
M. Zackery IV 3 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -

California Golden Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Ames 34 9-16 4-9 1-1 1 3 0 0 1 23 10 -3.7
John Camden 31 1-10 1-9 0-0 3 3 1 0 0 3 0 -2.6
Chris Bell 31 5-11 1-7 4-5 5 0 0 0 1 15 8 +4.0
Justin Pippen 29 4-11 3-8 3-5 4 3 1 0 0 14 11 -1.6
Lee Dort 23 2-5 0-0 0-0 11 0 0 0 1 4 9 -5.8
Nolan Dorsey 18 0-3 0-3 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -3 -1.4
S. Carr 17 2-3 2-3 0-0 2 3 1 0 0 6 9 +8.5
Milos Ilic 15 3-4 0-0 1-1 4 1 1 1 0 7 10 +5.3
Mantas Kocanas 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2.0

* = starter