๐Ÿปโฌ‡๏ธ๐Ÿ€

@
2025-12-30

Model Predictions

Model Florida State Seminoles North Carolina Tar Heels Spread Result
Elo 35.2% 64.8% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 22.3% 77.7% - โœ“
Margin 14.1% 85.9% +10.0 โœ“ (3.0 off)
Pythagorean 39.7% 60.3% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 43.4% 56.6% - โœ“

Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +13 (79-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Florida State Seminoles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Chauncey Wiggins 34 5-14 3-9 3-4 10 0 1 1 0 16 14 -2.4
Robert McCray V 33 5-13 1-5 0-0 6 8 1 0 7 11 6 +2.4
Martin Somerville 32 2-9 2-8 0-0 4 1 1 0 0 6 3 -3.1
Lajae Jones 30 4-9 2-5 0-0 5 1 0 0 0 10 7 -1.0
Kobe MaGee 23 4-10 4-9 0-0 2 2 0 0 1 12 5 -14.0
Alex Steen 20 1-2 0-0 4-7 3 0 2 1 0 6 10 -7.2
Cam Miles 14 0-5 0-3 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 -5 -15.7
Thomas Bassong 7 0-0 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 0 1 2 -3.1
Alier Maluk 6 2-4 0-1 0-1 1 0 0 0 0 4 1 +1.7
AJ Swinton 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +0.0

North Carolina Tar Heels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Caleb Wilson 36 9-15 0-1 4-5 16 6 0 2 2 22 29 +14.0
Seth Trimble 35 6-13 0-2 8-11 7 2 4 1 1 20 20 +3.2
Henri Veesaar 29 6-7 0-0 0-2 12 3 1 0 3 12 18 +18.1
Jonathan Powell 26 2-6 2-6 0-0 3 3 0 0 0 6 6 +12.8
Kyan. Evans 23 5-15 5-12 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 15 0 +4.7
Derek Dixon 20 0-3 0-3 0-0 1 4 0 0 0 0 2 +14.3
Jarin Stevenson 14 1-4 0-3 2-2 3 0 0 0 0 4 3 -8.6
Luka Bogavac 13 0-5 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -5 -8.5
Jaydon Young 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 +2.8

* = starter