Model Predictions
| Model | Siena Saints | Maine Black Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 92.8% | 7.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 83.0% | 17.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 88.2% | 11.8% | -11.1 | ✓ (7.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 73.1% | 26.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 95.0% | 5.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 92.4% | 7.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 92.5% | 7.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 71.2% | 28.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Maine Black Bears -4 (60-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Siena Saints
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Doty * | 40 | 6-11 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 16 | +7.0 |
| J. Shoats * | 39 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 4-8 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 11 | +7.0 |
| B. Coyle * | 35 | 1-9 | 1-8 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 1 | +7.1 |
| A. Chandler * | 27 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 11 | +7.4 |
| F. Folefac * | 25 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 9 | +10.6 |
| C. Jones | 23 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
| T. Jones | 8 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| M. Jackson | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
Maine Black Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TJ Biel * | 30 | 3-9 | 1-5 | 4-4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 10 | -7.6 |
| R. Mabrey * | 25 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | -7.0 |
| K. Steele * | 19 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | -12.2 |
| B. N'Galang * | 17 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -9.3 |
| M. Gray * | 16 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -3 | -9.8 |
| A. Flagg | 30 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 10 | +4.9 |
| L. Carey | 22 | 7-10 | 2-2 | 1-4 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 11 | -1.3 |
| C. Crawford | 16 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | +2.7 |
| I. Bonilla | 12 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | +0.6 |
| Y. Bamba | 12 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | +2.5 |
| E. Byther | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter