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2025-11-08

Model Predictions

Model Maine Black Bears Stony Brook Seawolves Spread Result
Elo 13.8% 86.2% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 10.1% 89.9% - โœ“
Margin 8.1% 91.9% +13.4 โœ“ (2.4 off)
Pythagorean 27.6% 72.4% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 32.4% 67.6% - โœ“

Actual: Stony Brook Seawolves +11 (71-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Maine Black Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
TJ Biel * 34 3-9 0-2 3-4 7 2 0 2 1 9 10 -3.7
Ryan Mabrey * 33 5-12 3-7 1-3 3 1 0 0 2 14 4 -3.3
Logan Carey * 19 0-5 0-2 2-2 3 1 0 0 1 2 0 -2.1
Caleb Crawford * 15 1-3 0-1 2-2 2 0 0 1 2 4 2 +0.6
Keelan Steele * 12 1-1 0-0 0-2 2 0 0 0 0 2 3 -4.3
Ace Flagg 30 4-7 0-1 0-0 8 0 0 0 1 8 8 -0.7
Mekhi Gray 24 3-5 0-1 2-4 2 1 2 0 2 8 6 -8.5
Bashir N'Galang 19 3-6 0-0 5-8 3 0 0 0 1 11 7 -10.7
Isaac Bonilla 7 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -5.7
Yanis Bamba 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -0.8
Killian Gribben 3 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 2 -1 -5.8

Stony Brook Seawolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Rob Brown III * 35 5-17 2-7 4-5 4 2 0 0 2 16 3 +3.7
Erik Pratt * 34 8-18 1-6 2-3 5 2 1 0 2 19 7 +5.6
Collin O'Connor * 30 3-5 0-1 3-3 5 2 1 0 0 9 12 +5.1
Richard Goods * 28 4-7 0-1 2-5 10 4 0 2 0 10 19 +5.0
Quin Gorman * 24 2-4 0-1 3-5 6 1 1 0 0 7 11 +7.3
Tomas Valentiny 16 2-6 1-2 1-2 3 0 0 1 1 6 3 +0.1
Oleg Kojenets 12 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 1 0 2 4 +4.0
Andrej Shoshkikj 9 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 2 0 0 +1.2
Jonah Butler 5 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 +0.9
Toby Onyekonwu 5 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 +8.6
Ethan Simmon 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.1

* = starter