Model Predictions
| Model | Air Force Falcons | Fresno State Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 15.6% | 84.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 17.6% | 82.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 2.4% | 97.6% | +20.3 | ✓ (9.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 2.0% | 98.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 24.4% | 75.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Fresno State Bulldogs +30 (93-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Air Force Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas Hobin | 30 | 8-14 | 5-10 | 5-5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 26 | 14 | - |
| Kam Sanders | 30 | 2-8 | 1-3 | 5-6 | 5 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 15 | - |
| Ethan Greenberg | 27 | 2-6 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 2 | - |
| Riley Dering | 23 | 6-9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 7 | - |
| Eli Robinson | 19 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Caleb Walker | 18 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Wesley Celichowski | 14 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| A.J. Patterson | 10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Kolby Gilles | 10 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Brendan Martin | 7 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Justin Hinds | 6 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Elliott Taite | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Josh Gatete | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Sam Imade | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Fresno State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wilson Jacques | 28 | 6-6 | 0-0 | 6-9 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 18 | 25 | - |
| DeShawn Gory | 28 | 8-16 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 12 | - |
| Zaon Collins | 27 | 5-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Aram Soqui Urbano | 22 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Gasper Kocevar | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Bastien Rieber | 18 | 4-5 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Cameron Faas | 16 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| DJ Stickman | 14 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 5-5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Jac Mani | 13 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 3-5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Makhan Diouf | 8 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Matteo Porto | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter