Model Predictions
| Model | San Diego State Aztecs | Air Force Falcons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 90.7% | 9.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 89.2% | 10.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 98.8% | 1.2% | -24.2 | ✓ (9.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 93.9% | 6.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 75.4% | 24.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Air Force Falcons -34 (54-88). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BJ Davis | 25 | 7-8 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 14 | - |
| Taj Degourville | 25 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Reese Dixon-Waters | 24 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 6-6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Miles Byrd | 23 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| S. Newman Jr. | 21 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Jeremiah Oden | 21 | 5-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 4 | - |
| Miles Heide | 18 | 6-7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 13 | 16 | - |
| Pharaoh Compton | 16 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 15 | - |
| Tae Simmons | 14 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Thokbor Majak | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Cam Lawin | 3 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Raymar Gonzales | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Air Force Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kam Sanders | 27 | 3-8 | 2-4 | 3-4 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 11 | - |
| Lucas Hobin | 27 | 2-8 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 0 | - |
| Ethan Greenberg | 24 | 4-7 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 3 | - |
| Eli Robinson | 23 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Wesley Celichowski | 23 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Riley Dering | 17 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -1 | - |
| A.J. Patterson | 16 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Justin Hinds | 14 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Kolby Gilles | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | - |
| Brendan Martin | 10 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Josh Gatete | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Elliott Taite | 2 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Sam Imade | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter