Model Predictions
| Model | Fresno State Bulldogs | Air Force Falcons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 73.0% | 27.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 72.4% | 27.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 93.1% | 6.9% | -14.3 | ✓ (2.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 92.0% | 8.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 69.6% | 30.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Air Force Falcons -17 (62-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Fresno State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Heidbreder | 36 | 5-12 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 10 | +15.5 |
| Bastien Rieber | 29 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | +2.8 |
| Wilson Jacques | 24 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 13 | +12.4 |
| David Douglas Jr. | 23 | 7-11 | 5-8 | 2-5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 12 | +7.8 |
| Zaon Collins | 20 | 5-8 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 16 | +12.4 |
| DeShawn Gory | 20 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 7 | +10.3 |
| Cameron Faas | 18 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | +10.8 |
| Gasper Kocevar | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -4.2 |
| Aram Soqui Urbano | 9 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | +4.7 |
| Jac Mani | 7 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | +6.6 |
| Makhan Diouf | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | -4.0 |
| Matteo Porto | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -4.0 |
Air Force Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas Hobin | 28 | 2-9 | 1-7 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 0 | -21.2 |
| Ethan Greenberg | 27 | 3-8 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 8 | -16.0 |
| Eli Robinson | 22 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 2 | -9.2 |
| Kam Sanders | 22 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 4 | -12.6 |
| Riley Dering | 20 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 10 | -8.6 |
| A.J. Patterson | 17 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -3.8 |
| Wesley Celichowski | 17 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -9.4 |
| Kolby Gilles | 15 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | -4.0 |
| Brendan Martin | 13 | 2-6 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Justin Hinds | 11 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | -0.4 |
| Josh Gatete | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +4.0 |
| Elliott Taite | 3 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | +4.0 |
| Sam Imade | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter