Model Predictions
| Model | Air Force Falcons | Boise State Broncos | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 5.0% | 95.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 7.0% | 93.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 0.6% | 99.4% | +27.7 | ✓ (14.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 19.8% | 80.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Boise State Broncos +42 (96-54). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Air Force Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas Hobin | 28 | 3-9 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 0 | -26.4 |
| Eli Robinson | 24 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 2 | -32.1 |
| Ethan Greenberg | 22 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -14.0 |
| Kam Sanders | 22 | 4-9 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 4 | -18.7 |
| Wesley Celichowski | 18 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 5 | -13.4 |
| A.J. Patterson | 17 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -19.1 |
| Justin Hinds | 14 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -12.8 |
| Kolby Gilles | 13 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | -2 | -18.2 |
| Brendan Martin | 11 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Sam Imade | 10 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Riley Dering | 9 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3-7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 7 | -6.6 |
| Josh Gatete | 7 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | -9.2 |
| Elliott Taite | 3 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | +1.1 |
| Chris Catchings | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Boise State Broncos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spencer Ahrens | 27 | 6-10 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 18 | +34.1 |
| Aginaldo Neto | 23 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 4-5 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 16 | +29.8 |
| Bhan Buom | 21 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | +26.9 |
| Pearson Carmichael | 19 | 4-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 6 | +30.6 |
| Drew Fielder | 19 | 8-9 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 20 | +21.6 |
| Dylan Andrews | 18 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +9.4 |
| RJ Keene | 17 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 13 | +12.0 |
| Andrew Meadow | 17 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | +7.0 |
| Dominic Parolin | 17 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | +14.7 |
| Javan Buchanan | 13 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 5 | +4.2 |
| Ethan Lathan | 4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | +1.8 |
| Rayzhon Bergersen | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | +0.9 |
| Brennan Ramirez | 2 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -1.1 |
* = starter