Model Predictions
| Model | Air Force Falcons | Colorado State Rams | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 7.0% | 93.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 9.4% | 90.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 1.1% | 98.9% | +24.7 | ✓ (4.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 21.3% | 78.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Colorado State Rams +29 (81-52). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Air Force Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas Hobin | 30 | 3-10 | 1-7 | 3-3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 4 | -22.5 |
| Eli Robinson | 27 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | -24.0 |
| Ethan Greenberg | 27 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 3 | -26.6 |
| Wesley Celichowski | 26 | 1-6 | 0-5 | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | -21.9 |
| Kam Sanders | 26 | 5-11 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 5 | -27.9 |
| A.J. Patterson | 18 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | -9.0 |
| Justin Hinds | 16 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | +0.2 |
| Kolby Gilles | 15 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 2 | -7.2 |
| Chris Catchings | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Sam Imade | 4 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Elliott Taite | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | +3.0 |
| Riley Dering | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | +3.0 |
| Keaton Frisch | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Colorado State Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Pascarelli | 27 | 3-5 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 14 | +15.7 |
| Kyle Jorgensen | 24 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 12 | +21.3 |
| Jase Butler | 24 | 3-6 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 13 | +23.5 |
| Jevin Muniz | 24 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 11 | +19.7 |
| Carey Booth | 21 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 3 | +10.8 |
| Brandon Rechsteiner | 20 | 4-8 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 8 | +21.8 |
| Jojo McIver | 20 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 12 | +4.8 |
| Rashaan Mbemba | 17 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 10 | +19.9 |
| Augustinas Kiudulas | 15 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | +4.1 |
| Darnez Slater | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -3.0 |
| Jon Mekonnen | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3.0 |
| Charlie Dortch | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.0 |
| Nikola Djapa | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.0 |
* = starter