Model Predictions
| Model | New Mexico Lobos | Air Force Falcons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 92.5% | 7.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 90.7% | 9.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 98.8% | 1.2% | -24.2 | ✓ (17.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 94.4% | 5.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 75.5% | 24.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Air Force Falcons -42 (49-91). Predictions use season-end ratings.
New Mexico Lobos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Hall | 32 | 7-14 | 5-10 | 5-7 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 20 | +33.9 |
| Uriah Tenette | 27 | 4-11 | 1-7 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 6 | +37.4 |
| Luke Haupt | 25 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 10 | +25.4 |
| Tajavis Miller | 22 | 5-7 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 14 | +26.8 |
| Deyton Albury | 22 | 5-8 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 11 | +7.6 |
| Tomislav Buljan | 19 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 14 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 18 | +17.2 |
| Antonio Chol | 18 | 2-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | +11.7 |
| JT Rock | 12 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | +12.9 |
| Timeo Pons | 12 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | +7.2 |
| M. Vicentic | 11 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | +10.3 |
Air Force Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eli Robinson | 29 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -29.7 |
| Kam Sanders | 29 | 5-11 | 1-3 | 2-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 3 | -17.5 |
| Caleb Walker | 28 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 5-8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 11 | -18.8 |
| Ethan Greenberg | 26 | 2-8 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -1 | -22.4 |
| Lucas Hobin | 24 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -1 | -23.5 |
| Justin Hinds | 16 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | -13.5 |
| Kolby Gilles | 14 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | -18.6 |
| Wesley Celichowski | 13 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | -20.8 |
| A.J. Patterson | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -12.7 |
| Brendan Martin | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Sam Imade | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Josh Gatete | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2.9 |
| Elliott Taite | 1 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1.9 |
* = starter