Model Predictions
| Model | Utah State Aggies | Air Force Falcons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 96.4% | 3.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 95.7% | 4.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 99.4% | 0.6% | -28.2 | ✓ (8.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 94.4% | 5.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 76.8% | 23.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Air Force Falcons -37 (62-99). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Utah State Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mason Falslev | 27 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 4-5 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 19 | +18.8 |
| Kolby King | 24 | 4-7 | 4-7 | 3-3 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 15 | +13.0 |
| MJ Collins | 24 | 8-14 | 2-6 | 2-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 10 | +23.8 |
| Elijah Perryman | 22 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | +9.8 |
| Garry Clark | 17 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | +2.5 |
| Zach Keller | 15 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | +19.4 |
| Jordy Barnes | 14 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | +9.7 |
| Adlan Elamin | 14 | 6-9 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 7 | +11.3 |
| Tucker Anderson | 13 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | -0.2 |
| Karson Templin | 11 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | +12.5 |
| Drake Allen | 11 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | +11.2 |
| Luke Kearney | 8 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 7 | +6.9 |
Air Force Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eli Robinson | 34 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 2 | -23.5 |
| Kam Sanders | 28 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 4-5 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 8 | -24.0 |
| Lucas Hobin | 27 | 3-10 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | -1 | -4.2 |
| Caleb Walker | 26 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 15 | -15.7 |
| Ethan Greenberg | 26 | 0-9 | 0-7 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -17.4 |
| A.J. Patterson | 16 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 5 | -17.9 |
| Justin Hinds | 11 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -2 | -16.6 |
| Wesley Celichowski | 11 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -10.5 |
| Kolby Gilles | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -3.4 |
| Sam Imade | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Josh Gatete | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -0.7 |
| Brendan Martin | 3 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
* = starter