Model Predictions
| Model | Air Force Falcons | UNLV Rebels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 4.7% | 95.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 8.6% | 91.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 1.7% | 98.3% | +22.3 | ✓ (5.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 1.9% | 98.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 22.9% | 77.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UNLV Rebels +28 (67-39). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Air Force Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kam Sanders | 35 | 2-10 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 1 | -20.8 |
| Justin Hinds | 29 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2.5 |
| Lucas Hobin | 25 | 4-12 | 1-7 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 3 | -7.7 |
| Wesley Celichowski | 25 | 1-8 | 0-3 | 2-3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0 | -18.4 |
| Eli Robinson | 21 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | -26.6 |
| A.J. Patterson | 19 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | -13.4 |
| Caleb Walker | 15 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 12 | -4.7 |
| Ethan Greenberg | 13 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | -1.6 |
| Kolby Gilles | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -7.8 |
| Josh Gatete | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | -6.9 |
| Sam Imade | 3 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Elliott Taite | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.0 |
| Brendan Martin | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
UNLV Rebels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Howie Fleming Jr. | 34 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 16 | +22.2 |
| Issac Williamson | 33 | 4-14 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 4 | +14.6 |
| Dra Gibbs-Lawhorn | 29 | 5-10 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 6 | +16.2 |
| Tyrin Jones | 28 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 0-5 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 14 | 13 | +13.2 |
| Kimani Hamilton | 25 | 1-8 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 3 | +23.5 |
| Jacob Bannarbie | 22 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 10 | +10.7 |
| Emmanuel Stephen | 18 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 13 | +12.5 |
| Walter Brown | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | +0.9 |
| Jalen Cunningham | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +0.9 |
* = starter