Model Predictions
| Model | Air Force Falcons | San Diego State Aztecs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 4.9% | 95.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 6.4% | 93.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 0.4% | 99.6% | +30.2 | ✓ (7.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 18.6% | 81.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Diego State Aztecs +23 (81-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Air Force Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Hinds | 33 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -4.7 |
| Kam Sanders | 30 | 3-11 | 2-6 | 5-6 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 9 | -11.9 |
| Eli Robinson | 29 | 5-7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 11 | -11.3 |
| Kolby Gilles | 28 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | -10.9 |
| Wesley Celichowski | 26 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | +1.2 |
| Lucas Hobin | 23 | 3-8 | 3-8 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 0 | -5.8 |
| Caleb Walker | 14 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | -11.9 |
| A.J. Patterson | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 7 | -2.3 |
| Ethan Greenberg | 5 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | +2.2 |
| Josh Gatete | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1.1 |
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BJ Davis | 27 | 6-11 | 4-6 | 3-4 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 17 | +15.4 |
| Reese Dixon-Waters | 23 | 1-8 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -5 | +1.4 |
| Miles Heide | 22 | 5-7 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 15 | -6.9 |
| Magoon Gwath | 21 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 11 | +13.7 |
| Elzie Harrington | 21 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7 | +3.9 |
| Miles Byrd | 18 | 1-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | +7.1 |
| Pharaoh Compton | 17 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 9 | +20.7 |
| S. Newman Jr. | 16 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 8 | +4.2 |
| Taj Degourville | 14 | 3-3 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 10 | +1.9 |
| Jeremiah Oden | 10 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | +3.4 |
| Tae Simmons | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1.5 |
| Thokbor Majak | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3.0 |
| Cam Lawin | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3.0 |
| Raymar Gonzales | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3.0 |
* = starter