Model Predictions
| Model | Austin Peay Governors | Air Force Falcons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 89.9% | 10.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 88.1% | 11.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 88.9% | 11.1% | -11.4 | ✓ (8.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 93.9% | 6.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 68.1% | 31.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Air Force Falcons -20 (54-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Austin Peay Governors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tate McCubbin * | 28 | 6-10 | 3-6 | 4-6 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 20 | +13.0 |
| Collin Parker * | 24 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 1-4 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 12 | +20.4 |
| Anton Brookshire * | 24 | 5-10 | 4-7 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 8 | +10.4 |
| Creighton Morisch * | 19 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -2 | +4.8 |
| Zyree Collins * | 17 | 3-6 | 0-3 | 8-10 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 7 | +5.6 |
| Matt Enright | 19 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | +8.8 |
| Quan Lax | 13 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | +5.3 |
| Hansel Enmanuel | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2.1 |
| Rashaud Marshall | 13 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | +11.2 |
| Ja'Corey Robinson | 13 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | +6.0 |
| Tyler Wagner | 8 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | +6.2 |
| Travis Torain | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | +0.6 |
| Terrell Gaines | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +5.7 |
Air Force Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wesley Celichowski * | 34 | 4-9 | 1-4 | 1-8 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 8 | -16.5 |
| Kam Sanders * | 34 | 2-10 | 1-6 | 3-4 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 5 | -20.4 |
| Eli Robinson * | 33 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 17 | -14.4 |
| Ethan Greenberg * | 31 | 7-12 | 6-10 | 1-3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 11 | -6.2 |
| Caleb Walker * | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | -9.3 |
| Kyle Marshall | 18 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | -17.9 |
| Lucas Hobin | 17 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -4 | -6.0 |
| Josh Gatete | 10 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1.1 |
| Kolby Gilles | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -5.5 |
| A.J. Patterson | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +0.2 |
| Justin Hinds | 2 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | +0.1 |
* = starter