Model Predictions
| Model | Cal State Northridge Matadors | Northern Iowa Panthers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 27.8% | 72.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 29.3% | 70.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 8.9% | 91.1% | +12.8 | ✓ (16.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 34.9% | 65.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 38.1% | 61.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Northern Iowa Panthers +29 (86-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cal State Northridge Matadors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joshua O'Garro * | 31 | 1-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -1 | -17.2 |
| Josiah Davis * | 29 | 0-8 | 0-0 | 9-10 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 9 | 3 | -18.1 |
| Larry Hughes II * | 29 | 8-14 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 10 | -14.4 |
| Mahmoud Fofana * | 27 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 14 | -24.1 |
| Davius Loury * | 25 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -2 | -20.6 |
| Jai Chisolm | 15 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | -25.7 |
| Grady Lewis | 12 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | -10.6 |
| Jordan Brinson | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | -7.7 |
| Aleks Szymczyk | 8 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | -0.9 |
| James Evans Jr. | 7 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -4 | -12.8 |
| Greg Gazarian | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | +3.1 |
| Robert Thibiant | 2 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | +5.0 |
| Joseph Barrio | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +4.0 |
Northern Iowa Panthers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trey Campbell * | 32 | 4-13 | 3-9 | 2-2 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 13 | +19.6 |
| Tristan Smith * | 29 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 8 | +21.6 |
| Leon Bond III * | 28 | 9-14 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 23 | 18 | +22.3 |
| Will Hornseth * | 28 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | +24.4 |
| Max Weisbrod * | 16 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | +20.7 |
| Ben Schwieger | 24 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 14 | +20.6 |
| RJ Taylor | 13 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | +13.7 |
| Ismael Diouf | 12 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | +3.7 |
| Kyle Pock | 9 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | +9.9 |
| Geon Hutchins | 5 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | -9.1 |
| C. Courbat | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -3.1 |
| Hunter Jacobson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3.1 |
* = starter