Model Predictions
| Model | Winthrop Eagles | UNC Asheville Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 55.0% | 45.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 59.9% | 40.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 57.2% | 42.8% | -1.6 | ✓ (2.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.0% | 53.0% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 44.1% | 55.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 72.0% | 28.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 72.3% | 27.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 51.2% | 48.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UNC Asheville Bulldogs -4 (55-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Winthrop Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amourie Porter | 36 | 10-14 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 25 | 22 | +4.5 |
| Mya Pierfax | 34 | 3-10 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 4 | +1.3 |
| Cori Lard | 34 | 2-9 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 1 | +1.8 |
| Madison Ruff | 31 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 3-6 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 12 | -0.7 |
| Jada Ryce | 22 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | -1 | +3.4 |
| Tocarra Johnson | 17 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8 | +8.7 |
| Naomi Wilson | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2.8 |
| Ryiah Wilson | 13 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -1 | -6.8 |
UNC Asheville Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nia Green | 36 | 9-15 | 0-0 | 1-5 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 19 | 8 | +5.5 |
| Jamaria Freeman | 32 | 3-12 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 3 | +5.8 |
| Journee McDaniel | 28 | 5-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 9 | -10.7 |
| Aileen Marquez | 26 | 2-14 | 2-9 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | -5 | -6.1 |
| Deb Orianegbena | 22 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | +4.6 |
| D'Yanna Maxey | 22 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | -2.0 |
| Jaidyn Koerdt | 14 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -0.7 |
| Sara Yarnell | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +1.4 |
| Trinity Fields | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | +1.6 |
| Taliya Council | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -2.4 |
| Kristen McMillan | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | -2.8 |
* = starter