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Indiana Fever 98
@
Las Vegas Aces 107
2025-09-30

Model Predictions

Model Indiana Fever Las Vegas Aces Spread Result
Elo 17.2% 82.8% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 30.9% 69.1% - ✓
Margin 35.8% 64.2% +3.2 ✓ (5.8 off)
Pythagorean 47.0% 53.0% - ✓
Efficiency 46.5% 53.5% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 45.0% 55.0% - ✓
Log Adjusted 45.3% 54.7% - ✓
Points Off/Def 42.3% 57.7% - ✓

Actual: Las Vegas Aces +9 (107-98). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Indiana Fever

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Hull 43 5-12 0-5 2-2 7 3 0 1 5 12 6 -
O. Sims 41 7-14 1-2 12-13 2 6 1 0 5 27 17 -
N. Howard 33 7-16 0-2 2-2 7 5 1 0 3 16 10 -
A. Boston 32 5-12 0-0 1-2 16 2 0 0 3 11 14 -
K. Mitchell 23 4-8 3-3 4-5 2 2 0 0 2 15 9 -
B. Turner 23 1-1 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 0 0 2 6 -
S. Peddy 22 5-9 3-5 0-0 2 2 0 0 0 13 8 -
A. Powers 6 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 2 2 -
M. Timpson 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Las Vegas Aces

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Young 44 10-20 4-11 8-8 4 10 1 0 0 32 27 -
A. Wilson 41 13-27 1-1 8-10 8 5 4 4 1 35 28 -
C. Gray 39 7-12 2-5 1-1 2 6 3 2 1 17 17 -
J. Loyd 32 2-7 2-4 2-2 6 1 0 0 0 8 8 -
N. Smith 26 2-5 0-0 1-1 1 0 1 3 1 5 4 -
D. Evans 20 2-7 1-4 0-0 0 2 0 0 4 5 -4 -
M. Gustafson 18 2-2 1-1 0-0 0 2 0 1 0 5 6 -
K. Bell 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
K. Stokes 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter