Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Fever | Las Vegas Aces | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 17.2% | 82.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 30.9% | 69.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 35.8% | 64.2% | +3.2 | ✓ (18.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.0% | 53.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 46.5% | 53.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 45.0% | 55.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 45.3% | 54.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 42.3% | 57.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Las Vegas Aces +22 (90-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odyssey Sims | 32 | 7-12 | 1-2 | 3-5 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 18 | 8 | - |
| Kelsey Mitchell | 31 | 4-14 | 1-6 | 4-4 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 4 | - |
| Aliyah Boston | 29 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 14 | - |
| Lexie Hull | 29 | 5-16 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 4 | - |
| B. Turner | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | - |
| Natasha Howard | 23 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Shey Peddy | 17 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Aerial Powers | 7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | - |
| B. Hall | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| M. Timpson | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Las Vegas Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A'ja Wilson | 33 | 10-18 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 9 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 25 | 21 | - |
| Jackie Young | 32 | 5-11 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 9 | - |
| Chelsea Gray | 31 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 1 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 11 | - |
| NaLyssa Smith | 30 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 4-9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 16 | - |
| Jewell Loyd | 26 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 4-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Dana Evans | 19 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Kierstan Bell | 10 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Megan Gustafson | 7 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| A. Nye | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Cheyenne Parker-Tyus | 4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Kiah Stokes | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter