Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Fever | Las Vegas Aces | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 17.2% | 82.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 30.9% | 69.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 35.8% | 64.2% | +3.2 | ✗ (19.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.0% | 53.0% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 46.5% | 53.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 45.0% | 55.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 45.3% | 54.7% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 42.3% | 57.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Las Vegas Aces -16 (73-89). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lexie Hull | 35 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Kelsey Mitchell | 34 | 12-23 | 4-6 | 6-6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 34 | 14 | - |
| Odyssey Sims | 32 | 7-13 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 11 | - |
| Aliyah Boston | 29 | 3-9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 11 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 11 | - |
| B. Turner | 23 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Natasha Howard | 22 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 21 | - |
| Shey Peddy | 11 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Aerial Powers | 8 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Timpson | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| B. Hall | 1 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
Las Vegas Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jackie Young | 35 | 9-16 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 19 | 7 | - |
| Chelsea Gray | 34 | 5-12 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 9 | - |
| A'ja Wilson | 34 | 6-22 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 16 | 9 | - |
| Jewell Loyd | 28 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Dana Evans | 23 | 6-9 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 10 | - |
| Kierstan Bell | 16 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| NaLyssa Smith | 15 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Megan Gustafson | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Cheyenne Parker-Tyus | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Kiah Stokes | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Nye | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter