Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Las Vegas Aces | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 12.6% | 87.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 31.9% | 68.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 33.4% | 66.6% | +3.8 | ✓ (9.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.8% | 56.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 37.4% | 62.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 41.7% | 58.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 41.9% | 58.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 40.5% | 59.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Las Vegas Aces +13 (91-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kahleah Copper | 31 | 9-18 | 3-8 | 2-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 6 | - |
| A. Thomas | 30 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 12 | - |
| M. Akoa Makani | 27 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Satou Sabally | 27 | 7-19 | 2-9 | 6-7 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 12 | - |
| DeWanna Bonner | 23 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Natasha Mack | 19 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 15 | - |
| K. Westbeld | 17 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Sami Whitcomb | 14 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| K. Brown | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| K. Laksa | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| K. Williams | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
Las Vegas Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chelsea Gray | 35 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 8 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 22 | - |
| Jackie Young | 34 | 12-20 | 3-7 | 5-5 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 32 | 20 | - |
| A'ja Wilson | 32 | 13-23 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 28 | 20 | - |
| Jewell Loyd | 30 | 3-8 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 13 | - |
| Dana Evans | 26 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 2 | - |
| NaLyssa Smith | 21 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Megan Gustafson | 13 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Kierstan Bell | 7 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| A. Nye | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Cheyenne Parker-Tyus | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter