Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Las Vegas Aces | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 12.6% | 87.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 31.9% | 68.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 33.4% | 66.6% | +3.8 | ✓ (0.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.8% | 56.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 37.4% | 62.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 41.7% | 58.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 41.9% | 58.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 40.5% | 59.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Las Vegas Aces +3 (89-86). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Thomas | 38 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 20 | - |
| Kahleah Copper | 36 | 7-12 | 5-9 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 14 | - |
| Satou Sabally | 31 | 6-12 | 3-7 | 4-4 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 13 | - |
| M. Akoa Makani | 26 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 3-3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 9 | - |
| DeWanna Bonner | 26 | 4-13 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Sami Whitcomb | 22 | 2-8 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Natasha Mack | 16 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| K. Westbeld | 5 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Las Vegas Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A'ja Wilson | 38 | 7-16 | 0-1 | 7-9 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 21 | 23 | - |
| Chelsea Gray | 35 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 7 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 19 | - |
| Jewell Loyd | 35 | 8-16 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 5 | - |
| Jackie Young | 32 | 3-13 | 0-6 | 4-4 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 4 | - |
| Dana Evans | 26 | 8-13 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 17 | - |
| NaLyssa Smith | 16 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-4 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Megan Gustafson | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Kierstan Bell | 5 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| A. Nye | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Kiah Stokes | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter