Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Fever | Atlanta Dream | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 41.8% | 58.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.0% | 62.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 28.4% | 71.6% | +5.1 | ✗ (7.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.4% | 56.6% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 33.4% | 66.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 35.3% | 64.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 35.4% | 64.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 38.2% | 61.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Atlanta Dream -2 (85-87). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelsey Mitchell | 35 | 7-16 | 3-6 | 7-7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 10 | - |
| Aliyah Boston | 34 | 6-11 | 0-1 | 2-6 | 12 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 22 | - |
| Lexie Hull | 32 | 3-7 | 1-5 | 3-4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Odyssey Sims | 28 | 5-15 | 1-4 | 5-7 | 2 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 14 | - |
| Natasha Howard | 25 | 6-12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 8 | - |
| B. Turner | 18 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | - |
| Aerial Powers | 15 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Shey Peddy | 11 | 1-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -2 | - |
| M. Timpson | 4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Naz Hillmon | 40 | 3-8 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 11 | - |
| Rhyne Howard | 39 | 7-18 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 4 | - |
| Allisha Gray | 33 | 9-15 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 16 | - |
| Jordin Canada | 33 | 8-14 | 0-2 | 2-5 | 3 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 15 | - |
| Brionna Jones | 32 | 5-8 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 14 | - |
| T. Paopao | 9 | 3-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| B. Griner | 8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Maya Caldwell | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Nia Coffey | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter