Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | New York Liberty | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 54.5% | 45.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 44.3% | 55.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 37.2% | 62.8% | +2.9 | ✗ (28.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.5% | 54.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 46.8% | 53.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 46.7% | 53.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 42.6% | 57.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: New York Liberty -26 (60-86). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Satou Sabally | 30 | 5-11 | 2-4 | 3-3 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 17 | - |
| Kahleah Copper | 29 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 8 | - |
| A. Thomas | 26 | 6-13 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 15 | - |
| Sami Whitcomb | 23 | 1-7 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| DeWanna Bonner | 21 | 6-9 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 16 | - |
| M. Akoa Makani | 20 | 3-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| K. Westbeld | 19 | 4-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Natasha Mack | 17 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| K. Laksa | 5 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| L. Held | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| K. Brown | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| K. Williams | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
New York Liberty
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Natasha Cloud | 28 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Sabrina Ionescu | 26 | 3-13 | 1-8 | 2-6 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 4 | - |
| Leonie Fiebich | 23 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Jazmine Jones | 22 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 12 | - |
| Breanna Stewart | 20 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Emma Meesseman | 18 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Kennedy Burke | 16 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | -1 | - |
| Rebekah Gardner | 13 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| M. Johannes | 10 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Stephanie Talbot | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Nyara Sabally | 7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
| Isabelle Harrison | 7 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
* = starter