🐻⬇️🏀

@
2025-09-16

Model Predictions

Model Las Vegas Aces Seattle Storm Spread Result
Elo 83.0% 17.0% -
Bradley-Terry 60.9% 39.1% -
Margin 48.4% 51.6% +0.3 (2.7 off)
Pythagorean 50.5% 49.5% -
Efficiency 57.3% 42.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 57.3% 42.7% -
Log Adjusted 57.1% 42.9% -
Points Off/Def 48.2% 51.8% -

Actual: Seattle Storm +3 (86-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Las Vegas Aces

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Wilson 38 7-12 1-2 6-11 13 5 1 2 3 21 27 -
C. Gray 36 3-9 1-2 0-0 1 9 0 1 2 7 7 -
J. Young 35 8-17 1-6 8-8 5 4 1 0 2 25 16 -
N. Smith 31 3-5 0-1 1-2 8 0 3 0 0 7 13 -
J. Loyd 29 4-9 3-7 2-4 1 2 0 0 1 13 6 -
D. Evans 14 0-1 0-0 2-2 0 2 0 0 1 2 2 -
K. Bell 11 3-3 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 7 4 -
C. Parker-Tyus 6 0-0 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 -

Seattle Storm

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
G. Williams 36 2-8 0-2 2-2 1 2 1 0 1 6 1 -
Diggins-Smith 35 10-20 4-6 2-3 1 7 2 1 4 26 13 -
N. Ogwumike 34 9-19 4-5 2-2 10 3 1 0 1 24 18 -
B. Sykes 27 2-6 0-1 0-1 3 1 0 0 3 4 -1 -
E. Magbegor 23 2-3 0-1 0-0 5 3 1 2 1 4 11 -
D. Malonga 23 4-7 0-0 3-3 10 3 0 2 0 11 19 -
E. Wheeler 22 4-9 2-5 1-1 2 3 1 0 0 11 8 -

* = starter