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2025-09-14

Model Predictions

Model Seattle Storm Las Vegas Aces Spread Result
Elo 9.3% 90.7% -
Bradley-Terry 26.5% 73.5% -
Margin 29.6% 70.4% +4.8 (20.2 off)
Pythagorean 43.5% 56.5% -
Efficiency 36.7% 63.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 36.7% 63.3% -
Log Adjusted 36.9% 63.1% -
Points Off/Def 38.4% 61.6% -

Actual: Las Vegas Aces +25 (102-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Seattle Storm

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
G. Williams 27 8-13 0-2 0-0 3 2 1 0 3 16 6 -
N. Ogwumike 27 5-10 1-3 0-0 8 3 0 0 3 11 9 -
Diggins-Smith 26 4-11 2-3 2-3 2 2 0 0 0 12 5 -
E. Wheeler 25 4-11 1-5 1-1 2 1 1 0 0 10 3 -
D. Malonga 24 4-11 2-2 2-2 11 1 2 1 0 12 16 -
E. Magbegor 24 1-2 0-0 0-1 3 2 0 1 0 2 6 -
B. Sykes 16 0-3 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 5 0 -5 -
T. Mitchell 12 2-4 0-1 2-2 1 2 0 0 0 6 5 -
Z. Cooke 7 1-3 0-0 1-2 0 1 0 0 1 3 0 -
L. Brown 7 2-3 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 5 3 -
M. Holmes 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

Las Vegas Aces

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Wilson 30 10-18 1-2 8-10 8 2 3 2 3 29 23 -
J. Young 28 6-9 4-6 2-2 5 7 4 0 4 18 21 -
C. Gray 27 1-4 1-2 2-2 4 6 3 0 1 5 13 -
J. Loyd 26 5-9 3-6 1-1 3 1 0 1 0 14 10 -
N. Smith 25 4-6 0-0 3-6 9 1 0 2 0 11 17 -
D. Evans 23 5-11 3-6 0-0 4 6 0 0 0 13 12 -
K. Bell 15 2-6 1-5 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 5 0 -
C. Parker-Tyus 11 3-3 1-1 0-0 2 0 0 1 1 7 6 -
M. Gustafson 5 0-3 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
K. Stokes 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
A. Nye 5 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter