Model Predictions
| Model | William & Mary Tribe | Tennessee State Lady Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 78.1% | 21.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 77.5% | 22.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 87.1% | 12.9% | -10.5 | ✓ (0.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 86.6% | 13.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 92.9% | 7.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 90.7% | 9.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 90.9% | 9.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 71.2% | 28.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Tennessee State Lady Tigers -11 (53-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.
William & Mary Tribe
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Dance | 39 | 7-15 | 1-4 | 7-7 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 15 | -14.1 |
| C. Geddes | 38 | 2-12 | 0-5 | 4-4 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 2 | -11.4 |
| A. Mikeska | 31 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 13 | -11.1 |
| N. Fox | 26 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 14 | -13.0 |
| K. Smith | 20 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | -0.5 |
| D. Pierce | 18 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -5.9 |
| A. Gibson | 12 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | -0.4 |
| J. Sallman | 6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | -3.4 |
| S. LeGoullon | 5 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | +3.8 |
| M. Long | 5 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | -3.2 |
Tennessee State Lady Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Kamara | 36 | 4-13 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 1 | +17.7 |
| X. Whitfield | 36 | 4-10 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 11 | +5.7 |
| K. Roberts | 29 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 12 | +3.0 |
| K. Montoya | 22 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 10 | +17.9 |
| S. Sanchez | 20 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -3 | +11.5 |
| G. Harris | 17 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | +2.4 |
| E. Martin | 16 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | +15.5 |
| Brianna Wooldridge | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 8 | +2.1 |
| Amiyah Ferguson | 8 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | -4 | -8.1 |
* = starter