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2025-11-25

Model Predictions

Model Stony Brook Seawolves Central Arkansas Sugar Bears Spread Result
Elo 33.4% 66.6% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 35.6% 64.4% - โœ“
Margin 8.5% 91.5% +13.1 โœ“ (14.9 off)
Pythagorean 25.6% 74.4% - โœ“
Efficiency 3.8% 96.2% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 2.4% 97.6% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 2.2% 97.8% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 23.2% 76.8% - โœ“

Actual: Central Arkansas Sugar Bears +28 (70-42). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Stony Brook Seawolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Brantley 34 5-14 1-6 0-0 2 2 1 2 1 11 3 -17.0
C. Oliver 26 1-4 0-3 2-4 2 1 0 0 3 4 0 -19.9
C. Frost 26 1-10 1-3 3-4 10 1 1 1 2 6 7 -5.6
S. Frau Garcia 26 1-3 0-0 2-2 2 5 0 0 4 4 4 -12.9
J. Potter 19 2-6 0-0 0-0 4 1 1 0 1 4 3 -12.2
M. Mwanza 19 1-3 0-0 2-4 2 0 0 1 0 4 4 -13.5
D. Berete 15 1-4 0-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 2 -2 -6.2
D. Cooper 12 0-1 0-1 2-4 2 0 0 0 1 2 2 -7.9
N. Bennett 12 2-3 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 5 2 -3.6
E. Egbirika 11 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -3 -9.7

Central Arkansas Sugar Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Cheyanne Kemp 27 3-8 2-3 0-0 2 4 0 0 2 8 4 +9.4
Paris Santacaterina 26 2-5 2-4 0-0 7 3 0 0 1 6 10 +5.8
Shae Littleford 24 4-11 1-3 2-2 3 2 3 0 1 11 7 +18.7
Bree Stephens 21 5-9 1-3 0-0 3 0 0 2 1 11 6 +5.9
Jenna Cook 20 3-5 2-4 1-1 0 1 0 0 2 9 3 +15.4
Laylah Reese 18 0-2 0-1 0-0 2 3 0 1 2 0 2 +25.6
Linda Amaning 16 4-5 0-1 0-2 8 2 0 1 2 8 12 +22.2
Julianna Gibson 14 3-5 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 0 1 6 4 -5.2
Emerie Bohanon 12 0-4 0-2 0-0 1 4 2 0 0 0 3 +9.7
Kamryn Griffin 8 3-3 2-2 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 8 6 +5.1
Ale. Cox 7 1-1 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 3 3 -
Carla Ramirez 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 +1.9
Ali. Cox 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
Kaidyn Beckwith 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +1.9

* = starter