Model Predictions
| Model | Stony Brook Seawolves | Central Arkansas Sugar Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 22.8% | 77.2% | +5.5 | ✓ (22.5 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 29.9% | 70.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 8.5% | 91.5% | +13.1 | ✓ (14.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 25.6% | 74.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 3.5% | 96.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 2.4% | 97.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 2.2% | 97.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 23.2% | 76.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Central Arkansas Sugar Bears +28 (70-42). Ratings: 2025-26 season-end ratings.
Stony Brook Seawolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Janay Brantley * | 34 | 5-14 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 3 | -17.8 |
| Caitlin Frost * | 26 | 1-10 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 7 | -10.1 |
| Chloe Oliver * | 26 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 2-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | -18.0 |
| Sandra Frau Garcia * | 26 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 4 | -12.6 |
| Melissa Mwanza * | 19 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -11.4 |
| Johanna Potter | 19 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -11.7 |
| Diaka Berete | 15 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | -5.7 |
| Delaney Cooper | 12 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -5.6 |
| Nal'La Bennett | 12 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | -4.9 |
| Ebere Egbirika | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | -9.3 |
Central Arkansas Sugar Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cheyanne Kemp * | 27 | 3-8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 4 | +7.0 |
| Paris Santacaterina * | 26 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 10 | +1.7 |
| Shae Littleford * | 24 | 4-11 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 7 | +21.3 |
| Bree Stephens * | 21 | 5-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 6 | +8.6 |
| Julianna Gibson * | 14 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | -6.2 |
| Jenna Cook | 20 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 3 | +13.0 |
| Laylah Reese | 18 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | +22.1 |
| Linda Amaning | 16 | 4-5 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 12 | +22.9 |
| Emerie Bohanon | 12 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | +7.4 |
| Kamryn Griffin | 8 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | +3.8 |
| Ale. Cox | 7 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -2.3 |
| Carla Ramirez | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +0.0 |
| Ali. Cox | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +0.0 |
| Kaidyn Beckwith | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.1 |
* = starter