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2025-11-12

Model Predictions

Model Stony Brook Seawolves Fordham Rams Spread Result
Elo 70.4% 29.6% -
Bradley-Terry 58.2% 41.8% -
Margin 37.9% 62.1% +2.7 (3.3 off)
Pythagorean 48.7% 51.3% -
Efficiency 46.3% 53.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 39.5% 60.5% -
Log Adjusted 39.1% 60.9% -
Points Off/Def 41.2% 58.8% -

Actual: Fordham Rams +6 (58-52). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Stony Brook Seawolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Frau Garcia 39 2-8 0-1 4-4 5 7 2 0 4 8 10 -10.7
J. Brantley 36 2-10 0-2 4-4 6 0 1 0 2 8 3 +0.8
C. Frost 31 2-9 1-5 0-0 3 1 0 1 4 5 -3 -10.7
D. Berete 23 3-9 1-5 6-8 3 0 0 0 2 13 5 -8.3
C. Oliver 22 2-6 0-2 1-1 4 0 1 0 0 5 4 +0.5
M. Mwanza 22 3-8 0-0 2-2 2 0 2 0 2 8 2 -3.3
J. Potter 12 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 0 +1.0
A. Brown 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 0 2 -7.0
N. Bennett 4 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 1 -2.9
D. Cooper 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -12.9

Fordham Rams

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Black 32 3-10 2-5 12-17 6 4 2 1 4 20 19 +10.9
O. Niankan 31 6-8 1-1 3-4 8 1 1 1 3 16 16 +9.3
C. Easley 28 1-4 0-1 0-0 3 5 2 0 3 2 5 +10.0
E. Wilson-Saltos 19 3-7 0-0 0-0 10 0 0 1 1 6 9 +0.9
K. Berry 16 0-4 0-0 2-4 6 0 0 0 1 2 3 +4.1
L. Liley 16 1-4 1-3 0-2 0 0 1 0 1 3 -1 +7.4
A. Veljovic 15 1-5 0-3 0-0 3 0 0 2 2 2 0 -1.0
M. Hill 14 0-1 0-1 2-2 4 0 0 1 0 2 6 +1.0
P. Omoshola 13 2-3 0-0 1-1 2 0 1 1 2 5 4 +5.3
U. Sirtautaite 8 0-3 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -3 +8.3
L. Edwards 8 0-3 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -3 +2.1

* = starter