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2025-12-20

Model Predictions

Model Houston Cougars Arkansas Razorbacks Spread Result
Elo 27.5% 72.5% -
Bradley-Terry 59.6% 40.4% -
Margin 61.7% 38.3% -2.6 (6.4 off)
Pythagorean 51.2% 48.8% -
Efficiency 10.7% 89.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 77.1% 22.9% -
Log Adjusted 77.3% 22.7% -
Points Off/Def 53.4% 46.6% -

Actual: Arkansas Razorbacks -9 (85-94). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Houston Cougars

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Uzan 39 5-10 2-4 1-4 1 4 0 1 1 13 8 +8.7
K. Flemings 36 7-15 0-2 7-8 6 5 3 0 1 21 19 +15.3
E. Sharp 31 6-13 3-9 7-9 3 1 0 0 2 22 11 +6.0
R. Walker Jr. 27 3-6 2-4 4-4 4 0 0 0 1 12 9 +5.0
C. Cenac Jr. 23 4-8 1-1 0-0 7 0 0 0 0 9 8 +2.5
J. Tugler 15 4-5 0-0 0-0 4 1 4 0 0 8 12 +10.3
I. Harwell 10 2-3 2-3 0-0 2 2 0 0 0 6 7 +1.9
C. Lath 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 1 0 2 +1.6
C. McCarty 6 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 3 1 +0.2
M. Miller 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -1.0

Arkansas Razorbacks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Acuff Jr. 39 9-15 1-3 8-11 5 7 1 1 4 27 22 -4.7
D.J. Wagner 35 4-10 3-6 0-0 1 2 0 0 1 11 3 +1.6
K. Knox 28 1-6 1-5 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 3 -1 +8.8
M. Ewin 28 5-9 0-0 10-17 9 1 0 2 2 20 21 +5.7
B. Richmond III 24 5-6 2-2 0-1 2 1 2 0 0 12 11 -3.9
T. Brazile 21 1-3 0-1 3-4 6 0 0 1 1 5 8 -9.9
M. Thomas 15 3-8 1-3 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 7 -1 -22.1
N. Pringle 10 0-0 0-0 0-2 2 0 0 0 1 0 1 -11.6

* = starter