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2025-12-20

Model Predictions

Model Houston Cougars Arkansas Razorbacks Spread Result
Elo 52.4% 47.6% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 49.6% 50.4% - โœ—
Margin 60.7% 39.3% -2.4 โœ“ (6.6 off)
Pythagorean 51.2% 48.8% - โœ“
Efficiency 78.7% 21.3% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 77.2% 22.8% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 77.4% 22.6% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 53.4% 46.6% - โœ“

Actual: Arkansas Razorbacks -9 (85-94). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Houston Cougars

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Milos Uzan 39 5-10 2-4 1-4 1 4 0 1 1 13 8 +4.3
Kingston Flemings 36 7-15 0-2 7-8 6 5 3 0 1 21 19 +10.3
Emanuel Sharp 31 6-13 3-9 7-9 3 1 0 0 2 22 11 +4.1
Ramon Walker Jr. 27 3-6 2-4 4-4 4 0 0 0 1 12 9 +0.7
Chris Cenac Jr 23 4-8 1-1 0-0 7 0 0 0 0 9 8 -0.5
Joseph Tugler 15 4-5 0-0 0-0 4 1 4 0 0 8 12 +7.1
Isiah Harwell 10 2-3 2-3 0-0 2 2 0 0 0 6 7 -0.3
Cedric Lath 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 1 0 2 +3.4
Chase McCarty 6 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 3 1 -0.6
Mercy Miller 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -1.4

Arkansas Razorbacks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Darius Acuff Jr. 39 9-15 1-3 8-11 5 7 1 1 4 27 22 +1.6
D.J. Wagner 35 4-10 3-6 0-0 1 2 0 0 1 11 3 +7.4
Karter Knox 28 1-6 1-5 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 3 -1 +14.2
Malique Ewin 28 5-9 0-0 10-17 9 1 0 2 2 20 21 +15.3
Billy Richmond III 24 5-6 2-2 0-1 2 1 2 0 0 12 11 +3.0
Trevon Brazile 21 1-3 0-1 3-4 6 0 0 1 1 5 8 +0.0
Meleek Thomas 15 3-8 1-3 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 7 -1 -19.5
Nick Pringle 10 0-0 0-0 0-2 2 0 0 0 1 0 1 -10.4

* = starter