Model Predictions
| Model | Samford Bulldogs | New Mexico State Aggies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 53.1% | 46.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 52.3% | 47.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 24.8% | 75.2% | +6.1 | ✓ (2.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.5% | 49.5% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 44.0% | 56.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: New Mexico State Aggies +9 (81-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Samford Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jadin Booth * | 33 | 1-8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -4 | -6.4 |
| Cade Norris * | 27 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | -14.2 |
| Zion Wilburn * | 25 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 6-7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 12 | -13.4 |
| Dylan Faulkner * | 22 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 8 | -10.6 |
| Keaton Norris * | 14 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | -17.7 |
| Kam Martin | 22 | 7-12 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 12 | +13.7 |
| Jaxon Pollard | 20 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 10 | +5.6 |
| Isaiah Campbell-Finch | 19 | 2-6 | 0-4 | 4-6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | -5.7 |
| Judson Bjornstad | 11 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | +0.4 |
| Will Shaver | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -1.8 |
| Caleb Harrison | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +9.2 |
New Mexico State Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Wrzeszcz * | 30 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 7 | +4.1 |
| Gabe Pickens * | 27 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 7 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 14 | +14.1 |
| Julius Mims * | 27 | 7-7 | 2-2 | 1-2 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 20 | -3.3 |
| Jemel Jones * | 20 | 4-12 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 1 | +1.6 |
| Cyr Malonga * | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | +9.1 |
| Jayland Randall | 19 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 8 | -0.1 |
| Jae'Coby Osborne | 17 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | -3.5 |
| Elijah Elliott | 17 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | +6.3 |
| Augustine Ekwe | 14 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 5 | +4.7 |
| Kyrese Mullen | 11 | 5-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 6 | +13.2 |
| Chris Terrell | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -9.4 |
* = starter