Model Predictions
| Model | Mercyhurst Lakers | Northwestern Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 36.2% | 63.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 29.5% | 70.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 1.8% | 98.2% | +21.9 | ✓ (1.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.3% | 56.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 30.3% | 69.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Northwestern Wildcats +23 (70-47). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Mercyhurst Lakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Lemelman * | 27 | 6-13 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 3 | - |
| B. Blunt III * | 25 | 3-10 | 0-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Q. Martin * | 24 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 3 | - |
| M. Ivanauskas * | 22 | 3-9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | - |
| C. Gamble * | 13 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D. Jackson Jr. | 30 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 13 | - |
| C. Johnson | 19 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| J. Thomas | 13 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
| K. Fuhrmann | 11 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| S. Lang | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| O. Faran | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| B. Conner | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| C. Leman | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Vladimir Pavlovic | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Northwestern Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Martinelli * | 32 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 8-11 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 12 | - |
| Tre Singleton * | 26 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Arrinten Page * | 23 | 4-10 | 0-1 | 10-12 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 24 | - |
| Jordan Clayton * | 20 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - |
| Jayden Reid * | 20 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | - |
| K.J. Windham | 21 | 4-6 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 14 | - |
| Justin Mullins | 19 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 3-6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Max Green | 18 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Jake West | 10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Tyler Kropp | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Phoenix Gill | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter