Model Predictions
| Model | American University Eagles | Navy Midshipmen | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 13.4% | 86.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 22.6% | 77.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 17.3% | 82.7% | +8.6 | ✓ (0.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 34.1% | 65.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.7% | 98.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 18.8% | 81.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 18.6% | 81.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 30.6% | 69.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Navy Midshipmen +9 (82-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.
American University Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Sprouse | 34 | 2-8 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | - |
| G. Jones | 33 | 7-12 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 13 | - |
| M. Mayock | 32 | 3-8 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 3 | - |
| J. Iturbe | 29 | 6-11 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 8 | - |
| M. Collins | 24 | 4-9 | 1-4 | 5-8 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 16 | - |
| W. Nausadis | 20 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -1 | - |
| K. Sebastian | 18 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| C. Eagan | 10 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| D. Hogans | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Navy Midshipmen
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Benigni | 38 | 3-13 | 1-6 | 6-7 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 3 | - |
| A. Kehoe | 38 | 8-10 | 0-0 | 6-10 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 26 | - |
| J. Pennick | 34 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | - |
| D. Draper | 27 | 6-8 | 1-1 | 5-7 | 14 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 33 | - |
| J. Kim | 25 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | - |
| C. Cole | 23 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 | - |
| M. Woods | 15 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 8 | - |
* = starter