Model Predictions
| Model | Navy Midshipmen | American University Eagles | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 76.5% | 23.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 65.8% | 34.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 67.9% | 32.1% | -4.1 | ✗ (18.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 59.9% | 40.1% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 92.3% | 7.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 75.2% | 24.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 75.4% | 24.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 56.8% | 43.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: American University Eagles +14 (65-51). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Navy Midshipmen
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Benigni | 35 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 0 | +3.7 |
| A. Kehoe | 35 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 20 | -6.3 |
| J. Pennick | 31 | 0-8 | 0-5 | 2-3 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -1 | -12.6 |
| J. Kim | 29 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | -4.1 |
| D. Draper | 28 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 4-6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 10 | +1.7 |
| C. Cole | 26 | 3-9 | 3-8 | 4-5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 4 | -11.3 |
| M. Woods | 16 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -9.5 |
American University Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Jones | 35 | 8-13 | 2-6 | 5-6 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 16 | +10.6 |
| M. Mayock | 33 | 1-9 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | +16.3 |
| G. Sprouse | 32 | 3-8 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | +3.3 |
| J. Iturbe | 29 | 3-10 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 9 | +18.2 |
| W. Nausadis | 25 | 6-10 | 4-7 | 1-1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 11 | +2.5 |
| K. Sebastian | 18 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +3.7 |
| M. Collins | 15 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | -5.4 |
| C. Eagan | 11 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | -10.6 |
| L. Brown | 2 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter