Model Predictions
| Model | Belmont Bruins | Dayton Flyers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 38.9% | 61.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 55.1% | 44.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 66.3% | 33.7% | -3.7 | ✓ (2.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.5% | 44.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 62.6% | 37.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 74.4% | 25.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 75.1% | 24.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 55.9% | 44.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dayton Flyers -6 (66-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Belmont Bruins
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Banks | 33 | 6-14 | 2-7 | 7-7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 12 | +11.0 |
| T. Jones | 30 | 3-10 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | +7.3 |
| E. La Chapell | 24 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 9 | +3.0 |
| A. Strickland | 24 | 3-9 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | +7.0 |
| Q. Eubank | 19 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | +12.0 |
| S. Tripp | 18 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | +8.7 |
| K. Brodie | 17 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | +9.6 |
| K. Feltner | 17 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -0.7 |
| H. Fuller | 16 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 11 | +0.2 |
| L. West | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +5.2 |
Dayton Flyers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Stephens | 36 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | -5.5 |
| N. Lear | 29 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 10 | -7.8 |
| O. Leung | 25 | 4-9 | 2-7 | 4-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 7 | -10.5 |
| A. Madol | 25 | 1-7 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 2 | -4.2 |
| F. Ibrahim | 24 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 19 | +9.5 |
| M. O'Riordan | 21 | 0-7 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | -14.6 |
| S. Dawkins | 19 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | -5.7 |
| M. Johnson | 14 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | -11.2 |
| J. Johnson | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | -1.8 |
* = starter