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2025-11-20

Model Predictions

Model Cal Poly Mustangs Utah Utes Spread Result
Elo 56.9% 43.1% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 37.9% 62.1% - โœ—
Margin 11.9% 88.1% +11.0 โœ— (18.0 off)
Pythagorean 52.5% 47.5% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 39.3% 60.7% - โœ—

Actual: Utah Utes -7 (85-92). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Cal Poly Mustangs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Cayden Ward * 33 9-14 3-5 7-11 8 1 0 0 6 28 17 -0.5
Peter Bandelj * 33 4-13 2-5 1-2 4 5 3 1 2 11 9 +20.4
Hamad Mousa * 26 8-13 4-4 6-9 3 1 1 0 1 26 17 +11.9
Kieran Elliott * 21 1-2 0-0 0-0 6 0 1 0 3 2 4 -0.1
Troy Plumtree * 12 0-2 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 1 1 0 0 -8.6
Guzman Vasilic 25 4-8 4-6 1-2 2 3 1 0 0 13 11 +8.1
Ali Assran 21 2-2 0-0 0-0 8 1 0 2 3 4 10 +18.0
Jake Davis 21 2-5 1-3 3-7 4 2 2 1 1 8 11 +10.8
Austin Goode 7 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -11.1
Jason Scott 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +2.1

Utah Utes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Terrence Brown * 35 11-18 2-5 5-6 1 3 1 1 3 29 14 -10.6
Don McHenry * 31 5-14 1-5 5-5 2 2 2 0 1 16 7 -12.0
Keanu Dawes * 30 3-5 1-2 3-3 9 2 0 1 2 10 15 -8.1
Seydou Traore * 23 3-8 2-6 1-2 5 4 2 1 6 9 7 -1.1
Josh Hayes * 13 2-3 0-0 2-2 2 1 0 2 0 6 8 +9.6
Obomate Abbey 21 0-3 0-1 0-0 3 5 0 0 1 0 4 -12.0
Jacob Patrick 18 2-6 2-6 1-1 0 0 1 0 0 7 2 -7.1
James Okonkwo 15 0-2 0-0 1-3 3 0 1 0 2 1 1 -15.6
Kendyl Sanders 14 3-4 1-2 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 7 6 +7.9

* = starter