Model Predictions
| Model | LSU Tigers | Texas Tech Red Raiders | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 7.4% | 92.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 10.8% | 89.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 10.9% | 89.1% | +11.5 | ✓ (12.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.0% | 59.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 43.1% | 56.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Texas Tech Red Raiders +24 (82-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.
LSU Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dedan Thomas Jr. * | 33 | 5-14 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 13 | -1 | -4.1 |
| Marquel Sutton * | 28 | 3-8 | 0-4 | 1-4 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 | -4.0 |
| Michael Nwoko * | 22 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 10 | -4.0 |
| Pablo Tamba * | 20 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 10 | -1.8 |
| Max Mackinnon * | 16 | 0-9 | 0-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -5 | -4.0 |
| Robert Miller III | 27 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | +2.1 |
| Rashad King | 22 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Jalen Reece | 12 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | +2.1 |
| PJ Carter | 10 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Ron Zipper | 6 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | +2.1 |
| Mazi Mosley | 4 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | +2.2 |
Texas Tech Red Raiders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Anderson * | 37 | 9-16 | 5-9 | 4-7 | 5 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 27 | 24 | - |
| Donovan Atwell * | 32 | 3-9 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 3 | +0.1 |
| JT Toppin * | 31 | 5-10 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 15 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 19 | +4.1 |
| Luke Bamgboye * | 22 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | +2.0 |
| Tyeree Bryan * | 18 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | +4.1 |
| Jaylen Petty | 26 | 4-6 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 7 | -2.0 |
| LeJuan Watts | 25 | 5-11 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 14 | -3.0 |
| Leon Horner | 8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1.9 |
| Nolan Groves | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2.0 |
| Jack Francis | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1.0 |
* = starter