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2025-11-07

Model Predictions

Model Sam Houston Bearkats Texas Tech Red Raiders Spread Result
Elo 19.4% 80.6% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 16.5% 83.5% - โœ“
Margin 2.8% 97.2% +19.5 โœ“ (1.5 off)
Pythagorean 40.5% 59.5% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 37.6% 62.4% - โœ“

Actual: Texas Tech Red Raiders +21 (98-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Sam Houston Bearkats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Po'Boigh King * 28 2-7 1-2 2-2 0 0 0 0 0 7 0 -2.6
Justin Begg * 28 6-15 3-8 2-2 2 5 0 0 5 17 4 -0.5
Veljko Ilic * 24 6-8 0-0 1-2 5 3 0 0 1 13 12 -1.7
Kashie Natt * 23 6-10 2-2 2-4 11 2 2 0 2 16 19 +1.3
Damon Nicholas Jr. * 11 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 1 2 2 +0.1
Isaiah Manning 21 1-8 0-5 4-6 4 0 1 0 0 6 3 -0.6
Jacob Walker 21 2-6 1-2 0-0 0 0 2 1 0 5 2 +1.2
Jacobe Coleman 14 1-5 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 2 -3 -0.7
CJ Beaumont 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 0 4 +4.3
Matt Dann 9 2-4 0-0 3-4 2 0 0 1 1 7 5 +1.2
Jaxson Ford 8 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 1 +1.1

Texas Tech Red Raiders

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Donovan Atwell * 35 6-11 6-11 1-2 3 1 1 0 0 19 13 +2.7
Christian Anderson * 35 4-8 3-4 7-8 2 7 3 0 2 18 20 -
JT Toppin * 32 10-19 0-3 11-16 14 4 3 1 2 31 32 +3.8
Tyeree Bryan * 28 4-5 2-2 2-5 7 1 2 0 0 12 17 +3.8
Nolan Groves * 16 2-3 1-2 2-2 0 1 0 0 0 7 5 -4.3
LeJuan Watts 25 3-5 0-1 5-8 6 1 0 0 1 11 12 +2.8
Jaylen Petty 18 0-6 0-5 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -6 -0.3
Marial Akuentok 7 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 1 3 0 0 -4.2
Jazz Henderson 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 0 0 -3.0
Jack Francis 2 0-0 0-0 0-2 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -3.0

* = starter