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Bowling Green Falcons 82
@
Kansas State Wildcats 66
2025-12-01

Model Predictions

Model Bowling Green Falcons Kansas State Wildcats Spread Result
Elo 36.0% 64.0% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 30.1% 69.9% - ✗
Margin 16.6% 83.4% +8.9 ✗ (24.9 off)
Pythagorean 59.9% 40.1% - ✓
Points Off/Def 43.1% 56.9% - ✗

Actual: Kansas State Wildcats -16 (66-82). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Bowling Green Falcons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Javon Ruffin * 38 5-11 5-8 2-2 5 3 0 0 2 17 12 +20.1
Justin Thomas * 35 2-6 1-2 1-2 3 3 0 0 0 6 6 +14.5
Sam Towns * 34 9-14 3-5 6-6 8 2 2 0 0 27 25 +12.0
Javontae Campbell * 33 6-11 1-2 4-7 6 5 0 0 2 17 15 +16.4
Troy Glover II * 23 1-5 0-0 0-0 8 0 0 2 2 2 5 +10.8
Josiah Shackelford 25 3-10 2-6 1-2 5 2 1 0 1 9 6 +10.0
Mayar Wol 12 2-5 0-3 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 4 3 -5.2

Kansas State Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Johnson 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -2.9
David Castillo * 33 8-15 3-9 3-4 1 1 0 0 1 22 8 -9.3
Nate Johnson * 32 2-6 0-1 0-0 4 2 2 0 1 4 5 -3.5
P.J. Haggerty * 32 6-19 1-4 4-9 4 2 1 0 3 17 2 -20.3
K. McGriff * 23 4-5 0-0 1-5 5 2 0 3 1 9 13 -4.1
Abdi Bashir Jr. * 22 3-10 2-7 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 8 1 -6.1
CJ Jones 20 1-3 0-1 2-2 1 1 0 0 0 4 3 -11.4
Mobi Ikegwuruka 16 0-2 0-0 0-0 7 1 0 0 0 0 6 -9.5
Taj Manning 13 0-1 0-1 2-2 4 0 0 0 0 2 5 -3.5
Elias Rapieque 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 -3.8

* = starter