Model Predictions
| Model | Bowling Green Falcons | Kansas State Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 40.8% | 59.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.5% | 54.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 17.7% | 82.3% | +8.5 | ✗ (24.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 57.8% | 42.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 93.8% | 6.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 22.9% | 77.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 22.2% | 77.8% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 29.9% | 70.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Kansas State Wildcats -16 (66-82). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Bowling Green Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Ruffin * | 38 | 5-11 | 5-8 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 12 | +20.1 |
| J. Thomas * | 35 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | +14.5 |
| S. Towns * | 34 | 9-14 | 3-5 | 6-6 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 27 | 25 | +12.0 |
| J. Campbell * | 33 | 6-11 | 1-2 | 4-7 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 15 | +16.4 |
| T. Glover II * | 23 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5 | +10.8 |
| J. Shackelford | 25 | 3-10 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | +10.0 |
| M. Wol | 12 | 2-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | -5.2 |
Kansas State Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Johnson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2.9 |
| D. Castillo * | 33 | 8-15 | 3-9 | 3-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 8 | -9.3 |
| P.J. Haggerty * | 32 | 6-19 | 1-4 | 4-9 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 2 | -20.3 |
| N. Johnson * | 32 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -3.5 |
| K. McGriff * | 23 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1-5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 13 | -4.1 |
| A. Bashir Jr. * | 22 | 3-10 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 1 | -6.1 |
| CJ Jones | 20 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | -11.4 |
| M. Ikegwuruka | 16 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | -9.5 |
| T. Manning | 13 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -3.5 |
| E. Rapieque | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -3.8 |
* = starter