Model Predictions
| Model | UTSA Roadrunners | Colorado Buffaloes | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 15.7% | 84.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 11.3% | 88.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 0.9% | 99.1% | +26.0 | ✓ (2.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 5.6% | 94.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 22.4% | 77.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Colorado Buffaloes +24 (88-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UTSA Roadrunners
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamir Simpson | 34 | 8-16 | 2-3 | 2-7 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 14 | -15.7 |
| Kaidon Rayfield | 25 | 3-11 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 1 | -10.9 |
| Austin Nunez | 25 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -1 | -14.4 |
| Dorian Hayes | 21 | 2-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | -10.7 |
| Brent Moss | 21 | 4-9 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 4 | -4.7 |
| Daniel Akitoby | 21 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 8 | -5.4 |
| Matheo Coffi | 18 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | -12.8 |
| Baboucarr Njie | 17 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | -0.7 |
| Macaleab Rich | 15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -6.6 |
| Mo Njie | 3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3.3 |
Colorado Buffaloes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barrington Hargress | 26 | 9-12 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 16 | +9.6 |
| I. Johnson | 24 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 3-6 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 11 | +13.2 |
| B. Dak | 22 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 12 | +15.9 |
| S. Rancik | 21 | 6-12 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 10 | +10.3 |
| F. Kossaras | 20 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8 | +6.0 |
| A. Michaeli | 20 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | +6.2 |
| J. Holland | 18 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | +5.9 |
| J. Sanders | 17 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | -1.9 |
| E. Malone | 16 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | +6.4 |
| F. Ifaola | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | +3.5 |
| I. Inman | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +3.2 |
| A. Crawford | 4 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | +3.2 |
* = starter