Model Predictions
| Model | Colorado Buffaloes | Colorado State Rams | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 32.6% | 67.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.8% | 54.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 49.5% | 50.5% | +0.1 | ✓ (4.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.4% | 56.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 48.9% | 51.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Colorado State Rams +5 (91-86). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Colorado Buffaloes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Dak | 32 | 6-9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 13 | -17.3 |
| I. Johnson | 29 | 7-11 | 2-4 | 1-4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 16 | +4.7 |
| S. Rancik | 27 | 5-8 | 0-2 | 3-5 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 13 | +0.5 |
| F. Kossaras | 26 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | -13.5 |
| Barrington Hargress | 25 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | -11.6 |
| A. Michaeli | 24 | 8-12 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 12 | +1.3 |
| J. Holland | 15 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | +11.7 |
| J. Sanders | 12 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | +0.7 |
| E. Malone | 10 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -5.2 |
Colorado State Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jevin Muniz | 32 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 11 | +8.9 |
| Kyle Jorgensen | 32 | 7-10 | 3-6 | 4-6 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 23 | +13.2 |
| Josh Pascarelli | 32 | 9-13 | 8-10 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 26 | 14 | +4.6 |
| Brandon Rechsteiner | 27 | 4-10 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 7 | +7.4 |
| Carey Booth | 27 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | +14.3 |
| Jase Butler | 22 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 5 | +3.1 |
| Augustinas Kiudulas | 13 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | -9.5 |
| Nikola Djapa | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -6.8 |
| Jojo McIver | 7 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | -1.8 |
* = starter