Model Predictions
| Model | UC Davis Aggies | Colorado Buffaloes | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 44.4% | 55.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 31.9% | 68.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 7.7% | 92.3% | +13.6 | ✓ (2.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.9% | 55.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 38.1% | 61.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Colorado Buffaloes +16 (95-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UC Davis Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nils Cooper * | 32 | 6-8 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 13 | -16.2 |
| Marcus Wilson * | 31 | 8-15 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 8 | -8.7 |
| Connor Sevilla * | 29 | 1-7 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -4 | -13.9 |
| Niko Rocak * | 28 | 6-7 | 2-3 | 5-5 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 19 | 22 | -12.1 |
| Omer Suljanovic * | 17 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | -6.9 |
| Isaiah Chappell | 26 | 3-8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | -5.9 |
| Brayden Fagbemi | 23 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 9 | +0.8 |
| Jalen Stokes | 11 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -0.2 |
| Chase Rawlins | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -0.8 |
| Abdullah Amzil | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.2 |
| Cyril Franklin Jr. | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.0 |
Colorado Buffaloes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barrington Hargress * | 32 | 5-7 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 17 | +11.1 |
| S. Rancik * | 31 | 5-9 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 18 | +21.8 |
| B. Dak * | 30 | 8-10 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 15 | +26.3 |
| F. Kossaras * | 24 | 5-7 | 3-5 | 4-6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 14 | +31.5 |
| E. Malone * | 15 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | +13.1 |
| I. Johnson | 22 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | -6.4 |
| A. Michaeli | 18 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 2 | -22.3 |
| J. Sanders | 15 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | -3.1 |
| J. Holland | 9 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | -7.7 |
| I. Inman | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | +0.8 |
| F. Ifaola | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1.0 |
| A. Crawford | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1.0 |
* = starter