Model Predictions
| Model | Alabama State Hornets | Cincinnati Bearcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 1.4% | 98.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 9.3% | 90.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 0.5% | 99.5% | +29.3 | ✓ (7.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 25.3% | 74.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 4.8% | 95.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 7.3% | 92.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Cincinnati Bearcats +37 (88-51). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Alabama State Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Micah Simpson | 36 | 5-21 | 2-8 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | -1 | -17.4 |
| Cam Palesse | 33 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | -7.4 |
| Tyler Byrd | 29 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | -17.9 |
| Jerquarius Stanback | 26 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | -16.7 |
| Asjon Anderson | 21 | 4-13 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | -6 | -31.3 |
| D. Yates | 20 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 1 | -12.9 |
| R'Chaun King | 14 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -15.9 |
| Tyler Mason | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -2.0 |
| Kevin Alabi | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | +4.3 |
| Mario Andrews | 3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4.3 |
Cincinnati Bearcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baba Miller | 27 | 11-12 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 26 | 31 | +30.6 |
| Moustapha Thiam | 24 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 15 | +12.6 |
| Jalen Celestine | 23 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -4.2 |
| Shon Abaev | 23 | 3-11 | 1-7 | 6-10 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 13 | +29.8 |
| Kerr Kriisa | 22 | 1-9 | 1-9 | 0-0 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | +18.7 |
| Jizzle James | 20 | 6-9 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 12 | +9.7 |
| D. Thomas | 20 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 7 | +15.0 |
| Halvine Dzellat | 15 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | +10.4 |
| Jordi Rodriguez | 11 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -5.7 |
| Keyshuan Tillery | 10 | 1-5 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +2.9 |
| Sencire Harris | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -1.5 |
| Grant Darbyshire | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.8 |
* = starter