Model Predictions
| Model | Villanova Wildcats | BYU Cougars | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 55.6% | 44.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.3% | 56.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 22.6% | 77.4% | +6.8 | ✓ (1.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.3% | 54.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 79.9% | 20.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 28.5% | 71.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 27.9% | 72.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 34.1% | 65.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: BYU Cougars +5 (71-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Villanova Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Brennan | 32 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 15 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 18 | -3.7 |
| M. Hodge | 28 | 3-11 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | -2 | -7.2 |
| B. Lindsay | 27 | 7-14 | 5-9 | 3-5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 13 | -5.1 |
| T. Perkins | 25 | 3-10 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | -14.3 |
| A. Lewis | 22 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 2-4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | -5.2 |
| M. Palmer | 18 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | +0.4 |
| T. Gapare | 17 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -6.7 |
| C. Jeffrey | 16 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 5 | - |
| D. Askew | 12 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -4 | -17.5 |
| B. Pierce | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -9.8 |
BYU Cougars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Davis Jr. | 34 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | +13.8 |
| AJ Dybantsa | 32 | 9-18 | 1-1 | 2-7 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 12 | +13.2 |
| R. Wright III | 31 | 5-16 | 0-3 | 4-6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 1 | +3.5 |
| R. Saunders | 29 | 4-13 | 1-4 | 6-6 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 13 | +10.7 |
| K. Keita | 24 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 14 | +0.4 |
| K. Mboup | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | +6.8 |
| D. Baker | 15 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | +10.8 |
| M. Boskovic | 12 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | +9.8 |
| T. Mrus | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +2.0 |
| X. Staton | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2.0 |
* = starter