Model Predictions
| Model | Sacramento State Hornets | Baylor Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 10.8% | 89.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 8.7% | 91.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 1.2% | 98.8% | +24.4 | ✓ (2.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 20.3% | 79.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 28.4% | 71.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Baylor Bears +22 (110-88). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Sacramento State Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mikey Williams * | 35 | 5-19 | 1-7 | 10-12 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 21 | 2 | -16.3 |
| Prophet Johnson * | 33 | 6-15 | 2-7 | 7-7 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 17 | -12.8 |
| Mark Lavrenov * | 32 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 11 | -6.7 |
| Jahni Summers * | 22 | 4-7 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 8 | -0.5 |
| Shaqir O'Neal * | 14 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | +2.8 |
| Arman Madi | 24 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | -20.3 |
| Brandon Gardner | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -3.4 |
| Jayden Teat | 9 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -1 | -4.8 |
| Taj Glover | 8 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | -2.8 |
| Romari Robinson | 5 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | +2.5 |
| Jeremiah Nyarko | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -4.1 |
| Isaiah Bronson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +2.0 |
Baylor Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dan Skillings Jr. * | 33 | 4-10 | 0-4 | 4-4 | 14 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 19 | +3.4 |
| Michael Rataj * | 31 | 6-7 | 2-2 | 4-7 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 27 | +12.6 |
| Obi Agbim * | 30 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 6 | +8.7 |
| Cameron Carr * | 30 | 10-16 | 2-7 | 3-5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 25 | 9 | +19.5 |
| Tounde Yessoufou * | 28 | 11-15 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 27 | 22 | +12.2 |
| Isaac Williams | 22 | 4-7 | 0-2 | 3-5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 5 | +11.0 |
| Caden Powell | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | +4.0 |
| Will Kuykendall | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | -3.1 |
| Drew Perry | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -3.1 |
* = starter