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2025-11-25

Model Predictions

Model St. John's Red Storm Baylor Bears Spread Result
Elo 91.0% 9.0% -
Bradley-Terry 72.3% 27.7% -
Margin 71.9% 28.1% -5.2 (9.8 off)
Pythagorean 54.6% 45.4% -
Efficiency 96.6% 3.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 80.4% 19.6% -
Log Adjusted 80.3% 19.7% -
Points Off/Def 60.3% 39.7% -

Actual: Baylor Bears -15 (81-96). Predictions use season-end ratings.

St. John's Red Storm

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
O. Sellers * 36 6-11 5-7 5-5 2 0 0 1 0 22 14 +22.9
B. Hopkins * 26 9-12 3-3 5-5 5 5 1 1 3 26 23 +21.4
Z. Ejiofor * 26 4-7 0-0 1-4 6 4 0 2 1 9 13 +6.3
D. Darling * 18 1-2 0-1 0-0 3 0 2 0 1 2 4 +22.3
J. Sanon * 18 1-6 0-2 0-1 5 0 0 0 1 2 0 +5.7
D. Mitchell 25 8-10 0-1 2-3 6 6 1 1 0 18 22 +2.2
I. Jackson 21 5-7 3-4 1-2 3 1 0 0 3 14 8 -3.7
S. Ibine Ayo 13 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 -1 -0.9
R. Prey 13 1-1 0-0 1-2 2 2 0 0 0 3 6 +7.7
L. Liotopoulos 4 0-3 0-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -7.7

Baylor Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Carr * 36 8-15 5-8 6-7 3 0 0 0 1 27 14 -8.8
T. Yessoufou * 32 5-17 3-9 2-2 9 1 0 0 2 15 6 -14.7
M. Rataj * 30 5-14 0-1 2-2 12 4 0 1 3 12 12 -13.6
O. Agbim * 29 2-8 0-4 0-0 2 3 1 0 1 4 1 -8.6
D. Skillings Jr. * 24 2-8 0-2 0-0 5 1 1 0 2 4 1 -19.4
C. Powell 26 2-5 0-0 1-1 10 0 0 0 1 5 9 +5.3
I. Williams IV 23 5-11 0-1 4-5 2 1 0 0 0 14 6 -5.7

* = starter