Model Predictions
| Model | SMU Mustangs | California Golden Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 7.8% | 92.2% | +16.6 | ✓ (27.4 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 14.0% | 86.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 11.1% | 88.9% | +22.9 | ✓ (21.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 3.9% | 96.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 3.1% | 96.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 2.4% | 97.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 11.5% | 88.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: California Golden Bears +44 (78-34). Ratings: 2025-26 season-end ratings.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
SMU Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zahra King * | 30 | 3-14 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9 | -4 | - |
| Ayanna Thompson * | 29 | 1-9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -5 | - |
| Sahnya Jah * | 27 | 1-12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -3 | - |
| Anaya Brown * | 23 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -1 | - |
| Grace Hall * | 23 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Jazzy Gipson | 35 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | - |
| Miriam Ibezim | 30 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 14 | - |
| Elizaveta Filchagina | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | - |
California Golden Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lulu Twidale * | 31 | 8-14 | 7-11 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 17 | - |
| Gisella Maul * | 29 | 5-8 | 4-4 | 3-4 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 19 | - |
| Sakima Walker * | 22 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Mjracle Sheppard * | 20 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Claudia Langarita * | 17 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Aliyahna Morris | 20 | 4-10 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 3 | - |
| Naya Ojukwu | 17 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Lola Donez | 16 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Grace McCallop | 10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Isis Johnson-Musah | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Anastasia Drosouni | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Sofia Bowes | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter