Model Predictions
| Model | Pittsburgh Panthers | North Carolina Tar Heels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 0.5% | 99.5% | +41.1 | ✓ (13.1 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.9% | 97.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 2.8% | 97.2% | +39.0 | ✓ (11.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 0.8% | 99.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 0.2% | 99.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 0.2% | 99.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 3.1% | 96.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +28 (78-50). Ratings: 2025-26 season-end ratings.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Pittsburgh Panthers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jayda Queeley * | 36 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 10 | - |
| Fatima Diakhate * | 33 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Audrey Biggs * | 32 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - |
| Theresa Hagans Jr. * | 32 | 6-22 | 1-5 | 6-7 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 5 | - |
| Megan Hollingsworth * | 26 | 4-13 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 1 | - |
| Angela Le Faou | 19 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Carla Viegas | 18 | 1-8 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -6 | - |
| Macie Arzner | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elina Aarnisalo * | 29 | 4-9 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Nyla Brooks * | 28 | 6-15 | 3-7 | 3-3 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 11 | - |
| Lanie Grant * | 25 | 3-10 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Ciera Toomey * | 20 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 15 | - |
| Nyla Harris * | 6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Taliyah Henderson | 22 | 2-6 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Laila Hull | 18 | 6-12 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 11 | - |
| Taissa Queiroz | 18 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Blanca Thomas | 14 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 9 | - |
| Liza Astakhova | 8 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Jordan Zubich | 8 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Sydney Barker | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter